15 January 2008

False Claim: Hillary Won Texas and Nevada

The False Claim:

That Hillary won Texas and Nevada.

The Truth:

Let me provide some context with a quote from the incomparable Howard Wolfson:

"This is a race for delegates. It is not a battle for individual states. As David knows, we are well past the time when any state will have a disproportionate influence on the nominating process." from the Washington Post 1/16/2008

and, (from the Washington Post):

Howard Wolfson
, communications director for Clinton, echoed that sentiment. "Hillary Clinton won the Nevada Caucuses today by winning a majority of the delegates at stake," he said.

First - (and most importantly), as Howard Wolfson stated, and according to the law and the democratic process therein, the winner is the one that wins the most delegates. In Nevada, Obama won 13 delegates to Clinton's 12. According to math, 13 is more than 12 and, according to Wolfson, Obama won by winning a majority of the delegates at stake. In Texas, although Hillary got her Limbaugh Bump in the popular vote (if you deny it, why did Bill go on the Rush Limbaugh program?), thanks to his more dedicated voters, Obama will win 98 delegates to Hillary's 95. Again, that pesky objectivity that is math gives Obama another win. And one in a Big State, no less.

Second - Adding standards, or changing them, in order to give the perception of a win, is not a win. It is something losers do to make themselves feel better about being losers (so is not congratulating the winner, for that matter). Statistics can always be interpreted in any number of ways to justify and/or argue any point - just because you find a favorable interpretation doesn't mean you're right.

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